Hrvatska - početak supstitucije ili nastavak iseljavanja stanovništva?

undergraduate thesis

• Title (english): Croatia - the beginning of the substitution or continuation of emigration of the population?
• Author: Katarina Plancutić
• Mentor: Stjepan Šterc (mentor)
• Granter: University of Zagreb; Faculty of Science; (Department of Geography); Zagreb
• Defense date and country: 2018-09-07, Croatia
• Scientific / art field, discipline and subdiscipline: INTERDISCIPLINARY AREAS OF KNOWLEDGE; Geography

Abstract

Kako Hrvatska već dugi niz godina ima negativne demografske pokazatelje prirodnog i prostornog kretanja stanovništva, teško je uopće dati bilo kakvu pozitivnu projekciju daljnjeg tijeka. Problematiziraju se uzroci trenutnog stanja, trendovi i perspektiva demografske slike u Hrvatskoj s naglaskom na prostorna kretanja, prvenstveno na vanjsku migraciju. Statistički podaci analizirani su općim i geografskim metodama i tehnikama. Oni potvrđuju uvodne hipoteze kako recentno iseljavanje iz Hrvatske, posebno potaknuto otvaranjem granica država Europske unije, intenzivira dugotrajni prirodni pad u razmjerima većim nego ikad prije; drugo, bez nadomještaja radne snage iseljenjem hrvatskih državljana, nepovratno se gubi baza aktivnog i potencijalno aktivnog stanovništva Republike Hrvatske; i treće, nastavak iseljavanja, moguć povratak iseljenih Hrvata i supstitucija stanovništva ovise o demografskoj politici Vlade RH, javnom mišljenju i stavu svakog pojedinca. Hrvatska bi, stoga, trebala provoditi mjere demografske revitalizacije i migracijske politike jer jedino u njihovoj sinergiji postoje izgledi za svjetliju demografsku budućnost nego što se iz današnje perspektive čini.

Abstract (english)

Because of bad demographic indicators for many years in both the natural and spatial movements of the population, it is difficult to even give a positive projection of further demographic development in Croatia. Thesis deals with the causes of the current state, trends and perspectives of the demographic image in Croatia with an emphasis on spatial movements, primarily external migration. The statistics are analyzed by various general and geographical methods and techniques. They affirm three introductory hypothesis. Firstly, recent emigration from Croatia, especially encouraged by the opening of borders of the European Union, intensifies the long-term natural decline in scale greater than ever before. Secondly, without the reversal of the workforce of emigrant Croatian citizens, Croatia loses the base of the active and potentially active population. Thirdly, the continuation of emigration, the return of emigrant Croats, and the substitution of population depend on the demographic policy of the Croatian government, the public's and the attitude of each individual. Croatia should therefore implement measures of demographic revitalization and migration policy, because only in their synergy there are prospects that the Croatian demographic future is not as dark as it is from today's perspective.

• Keywords: Hrvatska; iseljavanje; supstitucija; radna snaga; populacijska politika
• Keywords (english): Croatia; emigration; substitution; labor; population policy
• Language: croatian
• URN:NBN: urn:nbn:hr:217:946326
• Study programme: Title: Geography; specializations in: Undergraduate University Study in Geography; Course: Undergraduate University Study in Geography; Study programme type: university; Study level: undergraduate; Academic / professional title: sveučilišni/a prvostupnik/prvostupnica (baccalaureus/baccalaurea) geografije (sveučilišni/a prvostupnik/prvostupnica (baccalaureus/baccalaurea) geografije)
• Type of resource: Text
• File origin: Born digital
• Access conditions: Open access
• Created on: 2018-09-12 08:59:14