Neki aspekti tehničke analize financijskih tržišta

master's thesis

• Author: Denis Čuljak
• Mentor: Boris Podobnik (mentor)
• Committee member: Boris Podobnik (predsjednik povjerenstva)
• Committee member: Hrvoje Šikić (član povjerenstva)
• Committee member: Miljenko Huzak (član povjerenstva)
• Committee member: Ozren Perše (član povjerenstva)
• Granter: University of Zagreb; Faculty of Science; (Department of Mathematics); Zagreb
• Defense date and country: 2018-07-17, Croatia
• Scientific / art field, discipline and subdiscipline: NATURAL SCIENCES; Mathematics

Abstract

Kroz ovaj diplomski rad upoznali smo se s osnovnim idejama tehničke analize koja se primjenjuje pri trgovanju na financijskim tržištima. Tehnička analiza proučava tržišna kretanja u prošlosti, primarno korištenjem grafikona i indikatora, s ciljem predviđanja budućih kretanja cijena. Glavna premisa da tržišna kretanja uzimaju u obzir sve dostupne informacije razlikuje tehničku od fundamentalne analize. Na početku rada objasnili smo osnovne koncepte u tehničkoj analizi, poput linije trenda, potporne i otporne linije te postotnog odstupanja od trenda. Nakon toga smo opisali obrasce obrata i nastavka trenda koji su osnova grafičke analize. Kako bi se smanjila subjektivnost tehničke analize koja ponajprije ovisi o umijeću analitičara pri interpretaciji grafikona, uvodimo različite indikatore poput pomičnih prosjeka i oscilatora. Na kraju smo predstavili primjer tehničke analize na investicijskom zlatu. Na ovom primjeru koristili smo neke od glavnih koncepata koji su opisani u ovom diplomskom radu. Na temelju analize i procjene budućih cjenovnih kretanja, dana je preporuka za trgovanje.

Abstract (english)

This thesis introduced basic ideas of the technical analysis which is applied in trading at financial markets. Technical analysis studies past market action, primarily by using charts and indicators, purpose of which is to forecast future price trends. The main premise that market action discounts everything distinguishes technical from the fundamental analysis. In the beginning of the thesis, we explained basic concepts in technical analysis, such as trend line, support and resistance and retracement. After that, we described reversal patterns and continuation patterns which are base for chart analysis. In the order to reduce subjectivity of technical analysis, which firstly depends on skills of an analyst while interpreting charts, we introduced different indicators like moving average and oscillators. Finally, we showed an example of technical analysis on investing gold. On the example we applied some of the main concepts of the technical analysis described in this thesis. Trading recommendation is given based on the according analysis and forecast of the future price moving.

• Keywords: tehnička analiza; financijska tržišta; investicijsko zlato
• Keywords (english): technical analysis; financial markets; investing gold
• Language: croatian
• URN:NBN: urn:nbn:hr:217:672264
• Study programme: Title: Finance and Business Mathematics; Study programme type: university; Study level: graduate; Academic / professional title: magistar/magistra matematike (magistar/magistra matematike)
• Type of resource: Text
• File origin: Born digital
• Access conditions: Open access
• Created on: 2019-07-23 06:24:23